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Owens CorningB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The reshaped residential-focused portfolio, resilient Q2 cash generation, completed divestiture, and continued cost and operating initiatives could support stronger margins, free cash flow, and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.8.
What can break
Benefits from the portfolio reshaping and leadership transition may take time or fail to meet expectations.
Momentum
60
Value
66
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $138.00 · Bull $150.00 · Bear $112.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $175.07
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d -19.9
Value66 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -4.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Benefits from the portfolio reshaping and leadership transition may take time or fail to meet expectations.
  • • Flat reported sales and year-over-year declines in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS.
  • • Q2 sales were flat and adjusted EBITDA and EPS declined year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 2026 results showed resilient cash generation despite weaker earnings

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
60
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.9
Δ21d
-17.9
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
-14.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 60.2 / Value 65.5 / Sentiment 66.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$12.16B
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
79.05M
P/E (TTM)
29.8
P/S (TTM)
0.86
P/FCF (TTM)
10.62
Rev YoY
+0.3%
EPS YoY
-34.0%
Gross Margin
+26.5%
Op Margin
+14.9%
Net Debt
$5.35B
Current Ratio
1.16
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data