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Owens CorningA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Portfolio reshaping and Doors productivity could support stronger margins and cash generation if the additional cost improvements materialize. Q2 free cash flow was $199 million versus $129 million a year earlier, although that measure includes discontinued operations.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · BMO.
What can break
Q2 continuing-operations adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 24% from 26% a year earlier. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
31
Value
66
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $124.00 · Bull $148.00 · Bear $91.00Analysis 2026-10-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-04 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $146.31
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d -1.4
Value66 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment67 · Δ7d -3.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Q2 continuing-operations adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 24% from 26% a year earlier. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Shareholder returns and investment spending must be balanced against cash flow and balance-sheet resilience.
  • • Q2 continuing-operations adjusted EBITDA fell 6% and adjusted EPS fell 7% year over year while sales were flat.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04 · BMO

November 4 third-quarter results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
31
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.4
Δ21d
+8.8
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
-6.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 31.4 / Value 66.3 / Sentiment 67.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$148.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$124.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$91.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$9.19B
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
79.05M
P/E (TTM)
29.8
P/S (TTM)
0.86
P/FCF (TTM)
10.62
Rev YoY
+0.3%
EPS YoY
-34.0%
Gross Margin
+26.5%
Op Margin
+14.9%
Net Debt
$5.35B
Current Ratio
1.16
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data