B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
OBK
Origin BancorpCNYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$57.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$46.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-27
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+26.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+26.0
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+70.0
Score
AI commentary
The company-source gap is closed by the SEC-filed Q2 earnings release, which confirms broad sequential improvement. The available price anchor is $53.62 on July 24, but no pre-release comparison or trusted attribution of the market reaction was provided. Analyst revisions and consensus surprise data are also unavailable, so this remains a medium-coverage, monitoring-style positive view rather than a high-conviction signal.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-27
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-22eventQ2 2026 earnings showed broad sequential improvementMedium impact
The SEC-filed earnings release reported EPS of $1.09 versus $0.89 in Q1, NIM-FTE expansion of 21 basis points to 3.92%, 1.35% annualized ROAA, 2.7% loan growth, and improved credit metrics. A consensus EPS comparison was not available. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
2026-10-25catalystCapital return remains supportiveMedium impact
The company repurchased 217,034 shares at an average $46.60, received $100 million of additional repurchase authority, and increased its quarterly dividend to $0.25. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
2027-07-27catalystOptimize Origin execution toward the 4Q26 ROAA targetMedium impact
Management reaffirmed a near-term ROAA run-rate target of at least 1.15% by 4Q26; Q2 annualized ROAA was 1.35%, but sustaining the improvement remains the key test. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology