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Quanex Building ProductsA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 pricing, modest margin expansion and cash generation could support further debt reduction if demand stabilizes. [#8-K-2026-09-03]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Hardware and Extruded Solutions volumes declined in Q3 despite pricing gains. [#8-K-2026-09-03]
Momentum
65
Value
70
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $22.00 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $15.00Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $26.00
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d +1.9
Value70 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -1.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Hardware and Extruded Solutions volumes declined in Q3 despite pricing gains. [#8-K-2026-09-03]
  • • Management cited continuing inflationary pressure and a price-versus-cost imbalance that had affected Q2 margins. [#8-K-2026-09-03]
  • • Lower volumes in two segments, weaker nine-month adjusted EBITDA, inflation and 2.8x net leverage limit confidence that the Q3 improvement will persist.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Fiscal-year results test margin durability

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
65
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
-34.3
Value
70
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-11.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 65.2 / Value 69.7 / Sentiment 58.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$916.52M
Beta
0.94
Shares Out
45.83M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
8.7
P/S (TTM)
0.39
P/FCF (TTM)
8.22
Rev YoY
+2.2%
EPS YoY
-83.3%
Gross Margin
+20.7%
Op Margin
+5.2%
Net Debt
$775.62M
Current Ratio
2.28
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data