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Quanex Building ProductsA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 beat, consolidated margin improvement, debt repayment, and reported Q4 pricing and margin outlook indicate execution is improving before a broader housing recovery. The packet median analyst target of $27.25 implies upside from the $22.22 anchor.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +16.7.
What can break
Housing and construction demand remain mixed, with lower volumes in key segments.
Momentum
85
Value
71
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $25.50 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $27.25
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d +0.1
Value71 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment81 · Δ7d +16.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +16.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Housing and construction demand remain mixed, with lower volumes in key segments.
  • • Inflation, raw materials, freight, energy, and tariff effects could pressure margins.
  • • Revenue growth was modest, Hardware Solutions sales declined 2.7%, lower volumes remained a headwind, and leverage is still 2.8x.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-04

Q3 earnings beat and margin recovery

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-5.9
Value
71
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.7
Δ21d
+22.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 85.0 / Value 70.5 / Sentiment 81.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$25.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$952.55M
Beta
0.94
Shares Out
45.93M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
9.0
P/S (TTM)
0.39
P/FCF (TTM)
8.22
Rev YoY
+2.2%
EPS YoY
-83.3%
Gross Margin
+20.7%
Op Margin
+5.2%
Net Debt
$775.62M
Current Ratio
2.28
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data