B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NWL
Newell BrandsBNasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print provides credible evidence of a turnaround milestone: sales returned to growth, margins expanded sharply, five of six business units grew year over year, and full-year guidance was raised. If innovation and distribution gains persist without relying on tariff refunds, Newell could earn a modest rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.0.
What can break
Tariff recoveries and the expected cash refund may not repeat, creating a difficult comparison for future earnings.
Momentum
91
Value
49
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.40 · Bull $7.30 · Bear $4.80Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.66
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d -0.8
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment67 · Δ7d -2.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Tariff recoveries and the expected cash refund may not repeat, creating a difficult comparison for future earnings.
- • The initial market reaction was positive, but post-print analyst revisions and target changes remain unavailable, limiting confidence in the valuation signal.
- • The EPS beat was materially helped by tariff recoveries, and the expected refund is not a recurring operating driver.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Q2 beat-and-raise produced a positive initial market reaction
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
91
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
0.0
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.0
Δ21d
-6.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 91.2 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 67.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$6.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.57B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
425.9M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-8.9
P/S (TTM)
0.22
P/FCF (TTM)
13.14
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
+125.4%
Gross Margin
+35.5%
Op Margin
+8.4%
Net Debt
$5B
Current Ratio
1.11
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data