NVR
NVRANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Primary-source evidence supports only a cautious constructive case: Q1 orders improved, cancellations were better, backlog units held flat, and repurchase capacity can support per-share outcomes if operating cash flow remains resilient. [#SEC-8K-2026-04-22] [#PR-2026-05-08]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
Backlog dollar value was down 3% year over year, signaling softer price/mix even though backlog units were flat. [#SEC-8K-2026-04-22]
Momentum
85
Value
62
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $6,600.00 · Bull $7,300.00 · Bear $5,600.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $7,499.00
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d -
Value62 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture. Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
85
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
62
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
47
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 84.6 / Value 62.5 / Sentiment 46.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$17.52B
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
2.7M
P/E (TTM)
16.1
P/S (TTM)
1.96
P/FCF (TTM)
16.09
Rev YoY
-21.0%
EPS YoY
-28.6%
Gross Margin
+21.0%
Op Margin
+17.9%
Net Debt
-$903.99M
Current Ratio
3.55
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology