B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NVGS
NavigatorBNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 produced record net income, EBITDA, EPS, and TCE rates; utilization exceeded 90%, terminal throughput reached a record, financing for six newbuilds was secured, and the company increased its capital-return policy. The Unigas divestment could add a material Q3 book gain.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.
What can break
Analyst coverage, consensus estimates, options data, and social coverage are unavailable or insufficient.
Momentum
43
Value
63
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.50 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $18.50Analysis 2026-08-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $25.57
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +14.6
Value63 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +4.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst coverage, consensus estimates, options data, and social coverage are unavailable or insufficient.
- • Geopolitical and commodity-arbitrage tailwinds may weaken.
- • Management explicitly expects Q3 normalization in TCE rates and terminal volumes.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-13
Unigas Pool vessel divestment and book gain
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.6
Δ21d
+1.0
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-1.5
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
-5.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 42.9 / Value 63.2 / Sentiment 67.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$23.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.33B
Beta
0.40
Shares Out
61.49M
P/E (TTM)
11.5
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM)
53.17
Rev YoY
+29.5%
EPS YoY
+175.2%
Gross Margin
+32.4%
Op Margin
+26.0%
Net Debt
$698.18M
Current Ratio
1.71
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data