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NVGS

NavigatorB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose to $167.9 million from $129.6 million a year earlier, with fleet TCE at $33,946 per day and terminal throughput of 374,278 tons. Durable export demand, new terminal contracts and disciplined use of divestment proceeds could support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Q2 average daily vessel operating expense rose 7.3% year over year, and gross debt stood at $920.4 million at June 30. [#PR-2026-08-04] Company Q2 release
Momentum
37
Value
63
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $21.00 · Bull $26.00 · Bear $17.00Analysis 2026-10-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $25.63
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -25.1
Value63 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -2.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Q2 average daily vessel operating expense rose 7.3% year over year, and gross debt stood at $920.4 million at June 30. [#PR-2026-08-04] Company Q2 release
  • • Q2 benefited from widened North America–Asia arbitrage and temporary European production outages; both may reverse. [#PR-2026-08-04] Company Q2 release
  • • Management itself expects Q3 normalization after unusually favorable Q2 trade dislocations.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-15

Q3 freight-rate and terminal-volume normalization

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
37
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-25.1
Δ21d
-26.5
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+2.3
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-7.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 36.9 / Value 63.3 / Sentiment 56.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.33B
Beta
0.40
Shares Out
60.83M
P/E (TTM)
11.5
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM)
53.17
Rev YoY
+29.5%
EPS YoY
+175.2%
Gross Margin
+32.4%
Op Margin
+26.0%
Net Debt
$698.18M
Current Ratio
1.71
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data