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NUE

NucorB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 materially exceeded Nucor's own EPS guidance, with stronger mill and steel-products earnings, approximately $2.7 billion of nine-month free cash flow, and progress on new capacity [#SEC-8K-2026-10-26]. The positive early share reaction supports a cautiously improved view, subject to confirmation after the full session.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
What can break
Higher mill costs and seasonally lower Q4 volumes may absorb pricing gains [#SEC-8K-2026-10-26].
Momentum
89
Value
53
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $280.00 · Bull $315.00 · Bear $220.00Analysis 2026-10-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $296.50
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d -4.8
Value53 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +31.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +31.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher mill costs and seasonally lower Q4 volumes may absorb pricing gains [#SEC-8K-2026-10-26].
  • • Post-print analyst revisions and a settled full-session market reaction are not yet available.
  • • Q4 guidance calls for only flat-to-modestly-higher earnings despite better pricing, as seasonal volumes and costs constrain gains [#SEC-8K-2026-10-26].

Catalyst clock

2026-10-27

Q3 earnings exceeded company guidance; initial trading response is positive

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
89
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
+21.9
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+31.9
Δ21d
+24.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 88.9 / Value 52.6 / Sentiment 62.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$315.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$280.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$61.66B
Beta
1.86
Shares Out
226.88M
P/E (TTM)
23.6
P/S (TTM)
1.21
P/FCF (TTM)
135.49
Rev YoY
+23.0%
EPS YoY
+93.9%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+11.5%
Net Debt
$4.55B
Current Ratio
2.51
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data