B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NUE
NucorDNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary evidence improved: Q1 earnings rose sharply sequentially and year over year, steel mills set a quarterly shipment record, backlogs and utilization improved in the investor presentation, and management guided to higher Q2 earnings across all three segments [#8-K-2026-04-27].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Shares already trade above the packet median analyst target, increasing downside if Q2 follow-through disappoints.
Momentum
56
Value
53
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $190.00 · Bull $235.00 · Bear $165.00Analysis 2026-04-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $288.93
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d -5.6
Value53 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment45 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Shares already trade above the packet median analyst target, increasing downside if Q2 follow-through disappoints.
- • Steel earnings remain highly sensitive to realized pricing, volumes, and raw-material costs, with the 10-K explicitly calling out market steel prices, scrap, pig iron, energy, and import competition as key risks [#10-K-2026-02-25].
- • The market already rewarded the print intraday, but the close was only modestly above the April 24 anchor and the packet’s median analyst target remains below spot, so the setup can still de-rate if steel pricing, import protection benefits, or volume strength soften.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-27
Post-earnings digestion can pull shares back toward sell-side targets if Q2 pricing momentum cools
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
56
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.6
Δ21d
-28.2
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.1
Sentiment
45
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
+5.1
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 56.1 / Value 53.3 / Sentiment 44.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$190.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$61.86B
Beta
1.86
Shares Out
226.88M
P/E (TTM)
23.6
P/S (TTM)
1.21
P/FCF (TTM)
135.49
Rev YoY
+23.0%
EPS YoY
+93.9%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+11.5%
Net Debt
$4.55B
Current Ratio
2.51
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data