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NTRS

Northern TrustB
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The EPS and revenue beats, organic trust-fee growth and operating leverage support the deterministic score's positive thesis-change signal. Sustained fee growth and capital returns could justify the bull scenario.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Continued repurchases depend on capital and earnings; Q3 regulatory capital figures remain preliminary until the 10-Q is filed. SEC earnings exhibit
Momentum
49
Value
54
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $181.00 · Bull $198.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $184.57
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -5.6
Value54 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -6.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Continued repurchases depend on capital and earnings; Q3 regulatory capital figures remain preliminary until the 10-Q is filed. SEC earnings exhibit
  • • Custody and administration assets fell 1% sequentially despite rising 9% year over year; asset-based fees remain sensitive to markets and client flows. [#8-K-2026-10-21]
  • • One-time gains aided reported EPS; client assets slipped sequentially, and weaker markets or inflows could slow asset-based fees.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30

Q3 earnings beat awaits post-print reassessment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
49
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.6
Δ21d
-23.2
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.1
Δ21d
-9.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 49.1 / Value 53.8 / Sentiment 59.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$198.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$181.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$30.72B
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
182.96M
P/E (TTM)
16.8
P/S (TTM)
1.99
P/FCF (TTM)
25.14
Rev YoY
+17.2%
EPS YoY
+98.2%
Gross Margin
+58.0%
Op Margin
+13.4%
Net Debt
-$42.35B
Current Ratio
1.55
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data