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NTNX

NutanixB
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q4 FY2026 finish was strong: revenue grew 12% year over year, ARR grew 16%, free-cash-flow margin reached 29%, and management cited strength in external storage, NC2, Kubernetes, and database management. Continued execution could support further multiple expansion.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.1.
What can break
Execution may fail to sustain the Q4 FY2026 beat and strong ARR growth into FY2027.
Momentum
73
Value
53
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $76.00 · Bull $85.00 · Bear $57.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $79.64
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -17.6
Value53 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -10.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution may fail to sustain the Q4 FY2026 beat and strong ARR growth into FY2027.
  • • External storage, NC2, and Agentic AI adoption may remain early or difficult to monetize at scale.
  • • The next leg depends on converting product and AI initiatives into durable ARR and margin outcomes.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-15

September management conferences may clarify the forward AI and partner narrative

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-17.6
Δ21d
-17.3
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.1
Δ21d
-8.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 73.1 / Value 53.1 / Sentiment 60.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$85.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$19.84B
Beta
0.48
Shares Out
272.73M
P/E (TTM)
66.6
P/S (TTM)
5.22
P/FCF (TTM)
17.69
Rev YoY
+10.0%
EPS YoY
+19.3%
Gross Margin
+87.1%
Op Margin
+8.7%
Net Debt
-$503.9M
Current Ratio
1.68
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data