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NTNX

NutanixA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q4 FY2026 finish was strong: revenue grew 12% year over year, ARR grew 16%, free-cash-flow margin reached 29%, and management cited strength in external storage, NC2, Kubernetes, and database management. Continued execution could support further multiple expansion.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Execution may fail to sustain the Q4 FY2026 beat and strong ARR growth into FY2027.
Momentum
85
Value
54
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $76.00 · Bull $85.00 · Bear $57.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $77.69
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d +2.3
Value54 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -0.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution may fail to sustain the Q4 FY2026 beat and strong ARR growth into FY2027.
  • • External storage, NC2, and Agentic AI adoption may remain early or difficult to monetize at scale.
  • • The next leg depends on converting product and AI initiatives into durable ARR and margin outcomes.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-15

September management conferences may clarify the forward AI and partner narrative

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
-9.9
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+44.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 85.2 / Value 53.8 / Sentiment 75.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$85.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-26
Market Cap
$17.75B
Beta
0.48
Shares Out
270.32M
P/E (TTM)
66.6
P/S (TTM)
5.22
P/FCF (TTM)
17.69
Rev YoY
+10.0%
EPS YoY
+19.3%
Gross Margin
+87.1%
Op Margin
+8.7%
Net Debt
-$503.9M
Current Ratio
1.68
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data