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NPWR

NET PowerA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
$0.75-$0.01 (-0.84%)
At close · 2026-11-13
View Chart
Current thesis
A definitive energy services agreement followed by committed financing could validate the new first-project site and improve the positive event-driven prior. The customer cost-reimbursement arrangement offers conditional protection for approved equipment spending, not project funding.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Failure to satisfy the November 20 EPC conditions, or the March 31 full-notice deadline, can make a $3.5 million termination payment due. [#SEC-10Q-2026-11-12]
Momentum
69
Value
55
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.80 · Bull $1.20 · Bear $0.45Analysis 2026-11-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-13 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-13 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-11-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-13

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-13. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $2.79
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d -
Value55 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to satisfy the November 20 EPC conditions, or the March 31 full-notice deadline, can make a $3.5 million termination payment due. [#SEC-10Q-2026-11-12]
  • • No committed financing or additional capital for the Initial Project; the company's 12-month liquidity view assumes it avoids major unfunded construction commitments. [#PR-2026-11-12]
  • • The first-project relocation and longer Project Permian timeline increase execution uncertainty.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-13

Q3 update shifts the first-project test to a separate Texas site

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
69
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
55
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
66
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 69.0 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 65.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-11-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$0.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$0.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-13
Market Cap
$169.45M
Beta
0.82
Shares Out
88.48M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.3
P/S (TTM)
52203.39
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.95
Rev YoY
-100.0%
EPS YoY
+150.7%
Gross Margin
-707416.7%
Op Margin
-5523267.0%
Net Debt
-$334.11M
Current Ratio
17.80
As of 2026-11-13 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data