B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$3.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NPWR
NET PowerDNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The strategic pivot addresses a stated shortage of fast, reliable power and could make Project Permian more actionable if customer demand converts into contracted offtake and financing [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Cash sufficiency assumes the company does not enter additional pre-FID equipment obligations; future construction is likely to require project debt, partner capital, equity, or a combination [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
Momentum
69
Value
34
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.70 · Bull $3.00 · Bear $0.90Analysis 2026-08-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $2.95
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cash sufficiency assumes the company does not enter additional pre-FID equipment obligations; future construction is likely to require project debt, partner capital, equity, or a combination [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
- • Equipment-cost inflation, permitting, reliability design, customer contracting, and execution remain material risks.
- • The pivot increases exposure to execution, equipment-cost, financing, dilution, and customer-contracting risk while deferring the original carbon-capture differentiation.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-14
Post-earnings pivot toward unabated power
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
69
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 69.0 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 54.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-18. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$388.84M
Beta
0.82
Shares Out
88.38M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.6
P/S (TTM)
52203.39
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-2.18
Rev YoY
-100.0%
EPS YoY
+150.7%
Gross Margin
-707416.7%
Op Margin
-5523267.0%
Net Debt
-$334.11M
Current Ratio
17.80
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data