B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
NMRK
Newmark GroupBNasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Platform expansion and improved capital markets activity drive fee growth and margin expansion; successful refinancing reduces leverage and supports multiple expansion.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.
What can break
Prolonged CRE weakness and higher cap rates compress transaction volumes and fees; leverage and execution risk cause multiple contraction.
Momentum
45
Value
64
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.30 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $12.36Analysis 2025-11-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.75
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d +15.5
Value64 · Δ7d -
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +1.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Prolonged CRE weakness and higher cap rates compress transaction volumes and fees; leverage and execution risk cause multiple contraction.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Interest-rate sensitivity / CRE valuation repricing
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
45
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.5
Δ21d
+16.6
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
+14.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 44.8 / Value 64.0 / Sentiment 65.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-25. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$17.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.36
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.74B
Beta
1.91
Shares Out
181.23M
P/E (TTM)
31.7
P/S (TTM)
1.00
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
4.95
Rev YoY
+18.9%
EPS YoY
-5.4%
Gross Margin
+99.0%
Op Margin
+7.6%
Net Debt
$1.76B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data