B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NMRK
Newmark GroupCNasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 revenue grew 17%, adjusted EPS rose 25.8%, and management maintained its expectation of double-digit top- and bottom-line growth in 2026. Sustained leasing, capital-markets and recurring-service momentum could support a rerating.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Adjusted earnings growth exceeded GAAP earnings performance in Q2; profit conversion needs monitoring. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Momentum
15
Value
64
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.00 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-10-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.33
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d -6.3
Value64 · Δ7d -
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted earnings growth exceeded GAAP earnings performance in Q2; profit conversion needs monitoring. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
- • CEO, CFO and COO Form 4 dispositions warrant monitoring, but their motives and operating implications are not established by the packet. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-17] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-17]
- • Q2 GAAP net income attributable to fully diluted shares fell 5.7% despite higher adjusted earnings.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · BMO
Third-quarter results on October 29
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
15
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-6.3
Δ21d
-3.4
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-48.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 15.1 / Value 64.0 / Sentiment 50.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$2.08B
Beta
1.91
Shares Out
181.23M
P/E (TTM)
31.7
P/S (TTM)
1.00
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
3.76
Rev YoY
+18.9%
EPS YoY
-5.4%
Gross Margin
+99.0%
Op Margin
+7.6%
Net Debt
$1.76B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data