NFG
National Fuel GasBNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
Current thesis
Favorable regulatory outcomes, modest commodity tailwinds, and successful asset optimization drive EPS and dividend improvement, supporting a re-rating toward the analyst high (111.3).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-29 · AMC.
What can break
Key downside vectors are regulatory/rate-case setbacks that reduce allowed returns and large unanticipated capex or pipeline integrity costs that strain cash flow; weather-driven declines in gas volumes can exacerbate throughput and margin weakness, increasing dividend pressure.
Momentum
39
Value
68
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $100.00 · Bull $111.30 · Bear $81.14
Earnings
2026-07-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-22
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $101.50
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +3.7
Value68 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -2.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
39
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
+17.9
Value
68
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
54
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
-7.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 38.6 / Value 68.1 / Sentiment 54.2
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$7.69B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
95.04M
P/E (TTM)
14.4
P/S (TTM)
3.42
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
68.40
Rev YoY
+9.7%
EPS YoY
+9.1%
Gross Margin
+43.3%
Op Margin
+35.7%
Net Debt
$2.83B
Current Ratio
0.62
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

