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NEM

NewmontC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q2 free cash flow, net cash, shareholder returns, stable production guidance, and Red Chris approvals support a constructive medium-term setup. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
AISC and project costs remain exposed to gold, oil, foreign-exchange, supply, and labor assumptions. [#IR-2026-07-23]
Momentum
94
Value
66
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $104.00 · Bull $124.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-07-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $135.50
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -2.3
Value66 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d +1.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AISC and project costs remain exposed to gold, oil, foreign-exchange, supply, and labor assumptions. [#IR-2026-07-23]
  • • Broad post-earnings analyst revision data and reliable target-count information are unavailable.
  • • Revenue and sales-volume softness, higher cost sensitivity, Cadia disruption, and H2-weighted capital spending could limit the benefit of high gold prices and make guidance execution the key risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-23

Q2 earnings were operationally strong but mixed on expectations

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
94
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
+13.1
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+3.6
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
-7.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 94.3 / Value 66.4 / Sentiment 48.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$124.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$104.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$126.79B
Beta
0.42
Shares Out
1.05B
P/E (TTM)
16.1
P/S (TTM)
5.25
P/FCF (TTM)
21.95
Rev YoY
+16.9%
EPS YoY
+11.3%
Gross Margin
+56.4%
Op Margin
+54.0%
Net Debt
-$2.53B
Current Ratio
2.55
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data