NE

NobleD

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

Bull case: faster-than-expected contract awards and persistent dayrate recovery raise utilization and cash flow, supporting a premium above the anchor-derived base.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-27 · AMC.

What can break

Concentration in major customers and contract timing

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $35.70 · Bull $46.20 · Bear $31.50

Earnings

2026-07-27 · AMC

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $48.73

Why

Momentum19 · Δ7d -2.3

Value57 · Δ7d +0.2

Sentiment46 · Δ7d -6.5

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-2.3

Δ21d

+10.7

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.2

Δ21d

-0.9

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.5

Δ21d

-8.8

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 19.4 / Value 57.0 / Sentiment 46.3

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$6.48B

Beta

1.11

Shares Out

159.55M

P/E (TTM)

20.8

P/S (TTM)

1.34

P/FCF (TTM)

63.86

Rev YoY

-10.2%

EPS YoY

+11.7%

Gross Margin

+18.1%

Op Margin

+15.8%

Net Debt

$1.56B

Current Ratio

1.99

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology