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NDSN

NordsonC
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: sustained improvement in end-market capex and better-than-expected margin leverage from operating efficiencies yields >10% upside from the anchor; share repurchases or a positive guide could push multiple expansion.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Currency/commodity cost pressure
Momentum
85
Value
52
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $276.67 · Bull $332.46 · Bear $241.79Analysis 2026-02-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $361.00
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d -10.9
Value52 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment43 · Δ7d +1.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Currency/commodity cost pressure
  • • Execution risk on margin-recovery initiatives
  • • Bear case: soft industrial demand, missed guidance, or weaker margin recovery drives multiple compression toward historical lows, aligning price toward the analyst low/near-term recessionary outcomes.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Q1 2026 earnings release

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
85
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.9
Δ21d
-8.7
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
43
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
-0.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 84.7 / Value 52.1 / Sentiment 42.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-19. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$332.46
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$276.67
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$241.79
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$17.76B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
55.7M
P/E (TTM)
28.9
P/S (TTM)
4.92
P/FCF (TTM)
28.48
Rev YoY
+10.3%
EPS YoY
+23.0%
Gross Margin
+55.3%
Op Margin
+26.9%
Net Debt
$1.98B
Current Ratio
1.82
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data