NCMI

National CineMediaC

Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The best post-earnings read is that Q1 landed inside management's range despite seasonal weakness and Olympic competition, while Q2 guidance implies a normal seasonal rebound and the transformation program offers visible cost leverage.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

What can break

Cinema ad demand remains exposed to film slate variability, macro ad budgets and competition for premium video spend.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $3.30 · Bull $4.60 · Bear $2.10

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $5.20

Why

Momentum67 · Δ7d -1.5

Value51 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment34 · Δ7d -0.2

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.5

Δ21d

-11.0

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

-2.5

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 66.7 / Value 50.6 / Sentiment 34.2

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$354.49M

Beta

1.40

Shares Out

93.78M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-33.6

P/S (TTM)

1.60

P/FCF (TTM)

23.84

Rev YoY

-2.6%

EPS YoY

-4.7%

Gross Margin

+28.9%

Op Margin

-7.0%

Net Debt

-$14.8M

Current Ratio

1.82

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology