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MYRG

MYR GroupC
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2's backlog growth and C&I revenue gains provide a credible growth backdrop if Q3 confirms profitable conversion. [#PR-2026-07-29]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
What can break
Acquisition integration and borrowing use could affect execution and balance-sheet flexibility. [#PR-2026-07-29] [#8-K-2026-09-10]
Momentum
38
Value
59
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $265.00 · Bull $300.00 · Bear $210.00Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $406.67
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -21.6
Value59 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -8.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration and borrowing use could affect execution and balance-sheet flexibility. [#PR-2026-07-29] [#8-K-2026-09-10]
  • • Backlog does not guarantee profitable conversion or timing of revenue recognition.
  • • Q2 margin benefited from favorable project-estimate changes, while project inefficiencies partly offset those gains.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Third-quarter results on October 28

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
38
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-21.6
Δ21d
-2.2
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+2.8
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.9
Δ21d
-6.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 37.6 / Value 59.2 / Sentiment 53.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$265.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$4.36B
Beta
1.16
Shares Out
15.57M
P/E (TTM)
37.6
P/S (TTM)
1.03
P/FCF (TTM)
23.13
Rev YoY
+20.1%
EPS YoY
+86.5%
Gross Margin
+12.4%
Op Margin
+5.5%
Net Debt
-$46.65M
Current Ratio
1.40
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data