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MYPS

PLAYSTUDIOSF
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Renewal savings and higher direct-to-consumer mix could stabilize margins and cash flow despite weaker legacy games. Q2 cash was $102.7 million, and management expects further repurchases [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Management described continuing audience and revenue erosion in the legacy social-casino portfolio [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11].
Momentum
80
Value
42
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.44 · Bull $0.65 · Bear $0.24Analysis 2026-09-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.00
Why
Momentum80 · Δ7d -
Value42 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Management described continuing audience and revenue erosion in the legacy social-casino portfolio [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11].
  • • Restructuring savings may arrive too slowly to offset revenue pressure, while execution entails studio closures and workforce reductions [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11].
  • • Q2 revenue fell to $55.0 million from $59.3 million and adjusted EBITDA to $7.3 million from $10.7 million; the subsequent Win Zone closure and impairment further weaken the growth case [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11] [#8-K-2026-09-23].

Catalyst clock

2026-11-15

The Win Zone closure and Q3 impairment

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
80
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
42
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
0
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 80.3 / Value 42.1 / Sentiment 0.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$0.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$0.44
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$0.24
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$45.65M
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
12.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.7
P/S (TTM)
0.34
P/FCF (TTM)
4.69
Rev YoY
-7.3%
EPS YoY
+342.6%
Gross Margin
+60.8%
Op Margin
-12.8%
Net Debt
-$97.21M
Current Ratio
2.99
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data