B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
MXL
MaxLinearFNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Execution of recent design wins, expanding gross margins, and meaningful share gains in target RF/connectivity end markets drive revenue beats and multiple expansion toward the upper analyst range.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-13.
What can break
Cyclical weakness in broadband demand
Momentum
58
Value
39
Sentiment
17
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $19.50 · Bull $26.00 · Bear $15.00Analysis 2026-01-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $101.50
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d +11.6
Value39 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment17 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-13.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical weakness in broadband demand
- • Execution risk on margin expansion and supply-chain disruptions
- • Customer concentration, loss or delay of key design wins, intensified pricing pressure from larger incumbents, or a cyclical slowdown in broadband demand compresses revenue and margins toward analyst lows.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-17
Quarterly earnings release (assumed window end)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
58
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+11.6
Δ21d
-13.9
Value
39
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
17
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 58.5 / Value 39.2 / Sentiment 16.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$19.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.69B
Beta
1.74
Shares Out
90.69M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-53.7
P/S (TTM)
3.74
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
2387.61
Rev YoY
+55.2%
EPS YoY
-105.9%
Gross Margin
+55.7%
Op Margin
-11.6%
Net Debt
$70.8M
Current Ratio
1.78
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data