B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
MXL
MaxLinearFNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Execution of recent design wins, expanding gross margins, and meaningful share gains in target RF/connectivity end markets drive revenue beats and multiple expansion toward the upper analyst range.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Cyclical weakness in broadband demand
Momentum
49
Value
39
Sentiment
17
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.50 · Bull $26.00 · Bear $15.00Analysis 2026-01-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $101.50
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -3.0
Value39 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment17 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical weakness in broadband demand
- • Execution risk on margin expansion and supply-chain disruptions
- • Customer concentration, loss or delay of key design wins, intensified pricing pressure from larger incumbents, or a cyclical slowdown in broadband demand compresses revenue and margins toward analyst lows.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-17
Quarterly earnings release (assumed window end)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
49
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.0
Δ21d
-9.0
Value
39
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
17
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 49.3 / Value 39.2 / Sentiment 17.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$19.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.69B
Beta
1.74
Shares Out
90.69M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-53.7
P/S (TTM)
3.74
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
2387.61
Rev YoY
+55.2%
EPS YoY
-105.9%
Gross Margin
+55.7%
Op Margin
-11.6%
Net Debt
$70.8M
Current Ratio
1.78
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data