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MTX

MineralsB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sales momentum, strategic-project volume, record 17.8% Engineered Solutions margin, improving cash flow, and 1.6x adjusted net leverage support a constructive medium-term view. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.7.
What can break
Cat-litter demand and order timing moderated after first-quarter distribution-center inventory fills. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-31]
Momentum
23
Value
63
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $83.00 · Bull $93.00 · Bear $64.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $93.00
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d +1.3
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +7.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cat-litter demand and order timing moderated after first-quarter distribution-center inventory fills. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-31]
  • • Consumer & Specialties remains exposed to cost inflation and delayed contractual pricing recovery. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Consumer & Specialties sales fell 1% and adjusted segment operating income fell 21% as energy, transportation, and raw-material costs were not fully recovered.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 print supports FY growth outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+0.5
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+9.3
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.7
Δ21d
+4.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 23.0 / Value 62.5 / Sentiment 75.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$93.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$83.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.25B
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
31.13M
P/E (TTM)
1108.7
P/S (TTM)
0.93
P/FCF (TTM)
23.24
Rev YoY
+3.7%
EPS YoY
-510.9%
Gross Margin
+24.5%
Op Margin
+13.4%
Net Debt
$679.4M
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data