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MTX

MineralsB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter sales rose 4% year over year, and management said pricing actions were in place to address inflation-driven margin pressure. Sustained growth, margin recovery, and commercialization of Investor Day initiatives could support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Consumer & Specialties margins may not recover if pricing lags energy, transport, raw-material costs, or unfavorable product mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
30
Value
63
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $65.00 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $47.00Analysis 2026-10-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $91.25
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d -0.3
Value63 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +1.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Consumer & Specialties margins may not recover if pricing lags energy, transport, raw-material costs, or unfavorable product mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Investor Day revenue opportunities depend on execution and customer adoption; projected markets are not contracted sales. Company Investor Day release.
  • • Consumer & Specialties operating income fell 21% excluding special items in the second quarter, while a $290 million talc-related reserve charge drove a reported quarterly loss.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Senior-notes offering expected to close

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
30
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-2.5
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
-32.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 30.1 / Value 62.8 / Sentiment 58.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$65.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.96B
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
31.13M
P/E (TTM)
1108.7
P/S (TTM)
0.93
P/FCF (TTM)
23.24
Rev YoY
+3.7%
EPS YoY
-510.9%
Gross Margin
+24.5%
Op Margin
+13.4%
Net Debt
$679.4M
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data