B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
MTW
ManitowocFNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Sustained order recovery and visible margin expansion from mix and cost reductions prompt consensus upgrades and multiple re-rating, lifting the stock toward the $20 analyst high.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Cyclical downturn in construction demand
Momentum
99
Value
69
Sentiment
9
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.50 · Bull $20.00 · Bear $9.09Analysis 2026-02-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.00
Why
Momentum99 · Δ7d +0.3
Value69 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment9 · Δ7d -0.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical downturn in construction demand
- • Input-cost and supply-chain pressure
- • Ongoing order weakness, backlog cancellations, and margin erosion force consecutive earnings cuts and multiple compression, driving the stock toward the $9.09 analyst low.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-30
Quarterly earnings & guidance (estimated)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
99
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+1.6
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+12.2
Sentiment
9
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-3.6
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 98.7 / Value 69.1 / Sentiment 8.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-01. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.09
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$728.09M
Beta
1.88
Shares Out
36.06M
P/E (TTM)
8.2
P/S (TTM)
0.21
P/FCF (TTM)
127.80
Rev YoY
+10.3%
EPS YoY
+827.7%
Gross Margin
+18.7%
Op Margin
+3.5%
Net Debt
$452.4M
Current Ratio
2.11
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data