B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
MTW
ManitowocFNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Sustained order recovery and visible margin expansion from mix and cost reductions prompt consensus upgrades and multiple re-rating, lifting the stock toward the $20 analyst high.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Cyclical downturn in construction demand
Momentum
99
Value
69
Sentiment
8
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.50 · Bull $20.00 · Bear $9.09Analysis 2026-02-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.00
Why
Momentum99 · Δ7d -0.1
Value69 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment8 · Δ7d -4.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical downturn in construction demand
- • Input-cost and supply-chain pressure
- • Ongoing order weakness, backlog cancellations, and margin erosion force consecutive earnings cuts and multiple compression, driving the stock toward the $9.09 analyst low.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-30
Quarterly earnings & guidance (estimated)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
99
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.7
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+12.2
Sentiment
8
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.5
Δ21d
-3.9
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 98.6 / Value 69.1 / Sentiment 8.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-01. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.09
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$728.09M
Beta
1.88
Shares Out
36.06M
P/E (TTM)
8.2
P/S (TTM)
0.21
P/FCF (TTM)
127.80
Rev YoY
+10.3%
EPS YoY
+827.7%
Gross Margin
+18.7%
Op Margin
+3.5%
Net Debt
$452.4M
Current Ratio
2.11
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data