MTDR

Matador ResourcesC

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

The operating story improved: Q1 production beat guidance, FY26 oil and BOE guidance was lifted without increasing total CapEx, adjusted free cash flow was guided to roughly $1.1B-$1.2B, and management expects the RBL to be fully repaid; the Delaware Basin acreage add and Hugh Brinson takeaway could extend inventory and improve gas realizations.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-06-02.

What can break

GAAP earnings remain volatile because derivative marks and non-recurring items can overwhelm operating performance in any given quarter.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

3 · Net Bullish

AI TargetsBase $60.14 · Bull $68.00 · Bear $45.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Bullish

Target $60.14

Why

Momentum26 · Δ7d -28.0

Value70 · Δ7d -0.2

Sentiment58 · Δ7d +2.6

So what

Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-28.0

Δ21d

-16.7

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

-0.3

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+2.6

Δ21d

+10.5

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 25.9 / Value 70.1 / Sentiment 57.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-01

Market Cap

$6.96B

Beta

1.14

Shares Out

124.27M

P/E (TTM)

6.6

P/S (TTM)

1.35

P/FCF (TTM)

7.80

Rev YoY

+4.4%

EPS YoY

-28.6%

Gross Margin

+70.1%

Op Margin

+35.2%

Net Debt

$3.3B

Current Ratio

0.73

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology