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MSGM

Motorsport GamesA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
First-half revenue rose 74% year over year to $7.6 million, gross margin reached 84.7%, and RaceControl subscription revenue grew to about $1.4 million. Sustained subscription growth and successful new content could support a higher valuation.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
At June 30, cash was approximately $3.9 million and $1.2 million was drawn on a $3 million revolving facility, leaving limited room for execution setbacks. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-14]
Momentum
85
Value
70
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.25 · Bull $7.25 · Bear $3.00Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.00
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d -
Value70 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment77 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • At June 30, cash was approximately $3.9 million and $1.2 million was drawn on a $3 million revolving facility, leaving limited room for execution setbacks. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-14]
  • • Higher development spending could offset subscription and content revenue growth; Q2 adjusted EBITDA fell year over year. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-14]
  • • Q2 adjusted EBITDA declined despite revenue growth, development costs increased, and the business depends heavily on continued Le Mans Ultimate engagement and successful product execution.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-14

Q2 growth came with lower quarterly adjusted EBITDA

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
70
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
77
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 85.2 / Value 70.4 / Sentiment 76.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$22.49M
Beta
1.78
Shares Out
4.59M
P/E (TTM)
33.0
P/S (TTM)
1.86
P/FCF (TTM)
18.75
Rev YoY
+36.6%
EPS YoY
-90.7%
Gross Margin
+83.7%
Op Margin
+21.3%
Net Debt
-$4.98M
Current Ratio
1.85
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data