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MSGM

Motorsport GamesB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained profitability, high gross margins, accelerating RaceControl subscriptions, and continued Le Mans Ultimate engagement could support a higher valuation.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Dependence on continued Le Mans Ultimate engagement and RaceControl subscriber growth.
Momentum
85
Value
72
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.50 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $2.50Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.00
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d -
Value72 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dependence on continued Le Mans Ultimate engagement and RaceControl subscriber growth.
  • • Execution, timing, and funding risk around console rollout and portfolio expansion.
  • • The thesis depends on continued momentum from a concentrated product and platform ecosystem; console expansion and broader portfolio growth remain unproven, while analyst revision evidence is unavailable.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-01

Q2 results reinforced operating momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
72
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 85.2 / Value 72.1 / Sentiment 54.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$17.81M
Beta
1.78
Shares Out
4.59M
P/E (TTM)
33.0
P/S (TTM)
1.86
P/FCF (TTM)
18.75
Rev YoY
+36.6%
EPS YoY
-90.7%
Gross Margin
+83.7%
Op Margin
+21.3%
Net Debt
-$4.98M
Current Ratio
1.85
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data