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MSFT

MicrosoftD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
The strongest constructive read is that Microsoft enters the April 29, 2026 print with a proven cloud/AI demand base from the January quarter and a large-cap quality profile; if Azure growth, backlog, and monetization remain firm without a new margin scare, sentiment can recover from a cautious setup.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
AI infrastructure scaling has already pressured cloud margin, so another step-up in spend without commensurate monetization could cap upside [#10-Q-2026-01-28].
Momentum
18
Value
55
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $455.00 · Bull $520.00 · Bear $360.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $556.05
Why
Momentum18 · Δ7d +1.5
Value55 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -6.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
18
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
-2.5
Value
55
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
59
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
-8.0
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 17.7 / Value 54.5 / Sentiment 59.3

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$2.93T
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
7.43B
P/E (TTM)
33.6
P/S (TTM)
11.96
P/FCF (TTM)
65.89
Rev YoY
+18.3%
EPS YoY
+23.3%
Gross Margin
+68.3%
Op Margin
+45.9%
Net Debt
$17.62B
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology