MRTN

Marten TransportD

Nasdaq / Transportation

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

The constructive case is that Q4 2025 marked an early earnings trough: sequential profitability improved, intermodal has been exited, the balance sheet remains debt-free, and even modest rate / utilization improvement could translate into better operating leverage from a low earnings base [#8-K-2026-01-27] [#10-K-2026-02-27].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

What can break

Capital-return support may disappoint because the dividend is small and buyback capacity has existed without execution since 2022.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $14.25 · Bull $17.50 · Bear $11.75

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $18.50

Why

Momentum72 · Δ7d -3.4

Value49 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment29 · Δ7d -2.0

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-3.4

Δ21d

-5.3

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

+0.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.0

Δ21d

-2.7

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 71.8 / Value 48.7 / Sentiment 29.2

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-22

Market Cap

$1.41B

Beta

0.86

Shares Out

81.59M

P/E (TTM)

51.3

P/S (TTM)

1.10

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-21.10

Rev YoY

-8.8%

EPS YoY

-68.2%

Gross Margin

+5.1%

Op Margin

+2.8%

Net Debt

-$47.83M

Current Ratio

2.08

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology