B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MRM
MEDIROM HealthcareANasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 pricing and retention remained comparatively resilient, Lav reached 109 contracted insurers and 13,921 cumulative users, and World ID verifications exceeded 50,000. Demonstrated recurring World ID revenue alongside stabilization in salon traffic could produce a large percentage re-rating from the depressed microcap base [#IR-Q2-2026-08-17] [#PR-2026-08-28].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Capital raising on unfavorable terms could materially dilute ADR holders [#IR-Q2-2026-08-17].
Momentum
94
Value
51
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.85 · Bull $1.25 · Bear $0.42Analysis 2026-09-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -
Value51 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment82 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Capital raising on unfavorable terms could materially dilute ADR holders [#IR-Q2-2026-08-17].
- • Extremely small market capitalization and low coverage increase liquidity, volatility, and price-discovery risk.
- • Customer volume, salon count, and utilization remain under pressure even as ticket size rises.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Next salon KPI update must reconcile pricing gains with falling traffic and footprint
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
94
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 93.8 / Value 50.9 / Sentiment 82.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-12. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.42
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.53M
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
7.9M
P/E (TTM)
15.6
P/S (TTM)
0.29
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.98
Rev YoY
+34.6%
EPS YoY
+24.7%
Gross Margin
+25.0%
Op Margin
-0.2%
Net Debt
$14.75M
Current Ratio
0.24
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data