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MRM

MEDIROM HealthcareC
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher salon tickets, contractor-model execution, World ID contract revenue, and Lav insurer growth could improve profitability if sustained. The Q2 operating KPIs support monitoring these possibilities, not assuming their conversion into group earnings.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Microcap liquidity, financing terms, and dilution could dominate operating developments.
Momentum
94
Value
52
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.36 · Bull $0.55 · Bear $0.18Analysis 2026-10-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -
Value52 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Microcap liquidity, financing terms, and dilution could dominate operating developments.
  • • No verified analyst target, consensus revision, or post-release price-reaction evidence is available in the packet.
  • • Falling salon visits and a smaller salon base may outweigh ticket gains.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Salon visits versus higher revenue per customer

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
94
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 93.8 / Value 52.2 / Sentiment 51.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.36
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.18
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.74M
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
7.9M
P/E (TTM)
15.6
P/S (TTM)
0.29
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.31
Rev YoY
+34.6%
EPS YoY
+24.7%
Gross Margin
+25.0%
Op Margin
-0.2%
Net Debt
$14.75M
Current Ratio
0.24
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data