B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MPB
Mid Penn BancorpBNasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$40.33
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-03
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+25.9
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+25.9
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-36.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+71.8
Score
AI commentary
Recent headline flow is positive around the Q2 beat, dividend, acquisition completion, and repurchase authorization, but social coverage is absent and post-release price reaction is unavailable. The deterministic prior remains negative across 5-, 20-, 60-, and 120-day horizons, supporting a monitoring stance rather than an aggressive bullish upgrade.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-03
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-22eventQ2 earnings beat and NIM expansionMedium impact
Q2 diluted EPS was $0.85 versus $0.79 consensus, while net interest margin rose to 4.06% from 3.80% in Q1; loan growth and efficiency also improved. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-22] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
2026-09-30catalystDeposit contraction and funding-mix pressureMedium impact
Deposits declined 1.2% annualized sequentially, and organic deposits declined 17.9% annualized year over year excluding 1st Colonial, despite planned brokered-CD reduction. This remains a key funding and margin risk. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-22]
2026-12-31catalystAcquisition contribution and organic loan growthHigh impact
Results benefited from a full quarter of 1st Colonial contribution, while organic loans also grew; continued integration benefits could support earnings, though attribution remains partly acquisition-driven. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-22]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology