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MPB

Mid Penn BancorpB
Nasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat, higher NIM, organic loan growth, improved efficiency, acquisitions, dividend increase, and share repurchases support a constructive operating case. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-22] [#SEC-8K-2026-04-21]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.6.
What can break
Analyst revisions, target changes, and verified post-release market reaction are unavailable.
Momentum
55
Value
53
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.33 · Bull $43.00 · Bear $34.50Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $40.33
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d -0.7
Value53 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +3.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, target changes, and verified post-release market reaction are unavailable.
  • • Credit, reserve, and detailed forward-guidance evidence is limited in the supplied excerpts.
  • • Deposit contraction, acquisition dependence, and limited evidence on post-print analyst revisions or market reaction argue against upgrading to a high-conviction bullish thesis.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-22

Q2 earnings beat and NIM expansion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
55
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-16.3
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.6
Δ21d
+6.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 54.8 / Value 52.9 / Sentiment 68.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$40.33
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$967.43M
Beta
0.55
Shares Out
25.34M
P/E (TTM)
12.8
P/S (TTM)
3.40
P/FCF (TTM)
17.44
Rev YoY
+24.4%
EPS YoY
+283.9%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+25.4%
Net Debt
$12.68M
Current Ratio
0.03
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data