B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$230.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MOH
Molina HealthcareCNYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$205.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-03
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.3
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+30.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+62.7
Score
AI commentary
News tone is mixed-to-negative: coverage emphasizes lower profit, lower revenue, and membership declines, while the company raised FY2026 earnings guidance. Social coverage and reliable post-print price attribution are unavailable, and analyst revision data are missing; confidence therefore remains moderate.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-03
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-22eventQ2 results raised FY2026 earnings guidanceMedium impact
Q2 adjusted EPS was $1.51, premium revenue fell 6% year over year, and management raised adjusted FY2026 EPS guidance to at least $5.25. Medicaid performed in line with expectations, while Marketplace MCR was weaker [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22].
2026-11-01catalystMarketplace MCR and membership trajectoryMedium impact
The next quarterly operating update should clarify whether Marketplace acuity and risk-adjustment pressures persist. Q2 total membership declined to 4.926 million from 5.746 million year over year, and Marketplace MCR was 88.9% [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22].
2026-12-31eventFY2026 guidance delivery and Florida Medicaid implementationMedium impact
FY2026 guidance includes a $1.50 per-share loss related to implementation of the new Florida Medicaid contract in Q4 2026. Year-end results should test delivery against the increased adjusted EPS guidance of at least $5.25 [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology