B+
Bull case
28%
Probability
Target price
$335.00
+9.2% vs current
MOD
Modine ManufacturingCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
47%
Probability
Target price
$255.00
-16.9% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
-39.7% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+33.2
Score
AI commentary
Post-earnings news tone is high-buzz but mixed: headlines point to record results, a $4B data-center cooling agreement, and an initial rally, while at least one trusted market headline also flags a reversal after the earnings surge. Because the packet lacks verified consensus surprise, analyst revision detail, and target-count support, the memo remains a tentative monitoring view rather than a higher-conviction bullish call.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-29
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-06-05eventQ4/FY26 results and FY27 guide reset [#8-K-2026-05-26]Medium impact
Modine reported record Q4 net sales of $954.4M, record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $146.1M, adjusted EPS of $1.71, and FY27 outlook for 20% to 35% net sales growth with $650M to $680M of adjusted EBITDA. The print supports the post-earnings rerating, but the evidence packet does not provide verified consensus surprise or detailed post-print estimate revisions.
2026-06-30catalystMargin pressure from expansion, tariffs, and spin-off costs [#8-K-2026-05-26] [#10-K-2026-05-27]Medium impact
Q4 gross margin fell 320 bps as temporary data-center capacity costs, tariffs, higher material costs, and supply issues weighed on profitability; Modine also cited costs tied to the pending Performance Technologies spin-off, while the 10-K highlights leverage, covenant, and transaction-execution risks.
2027-03-31catalyst$4B data-center cooling agreement extends runway [#8-K-2026-05-26]High impact
The company said its landmark multi-year agreement with a major hyperscale customer is expected to supply more than $4B of cooling products during calendar 2027 through 2029, reinforcing the data-center growth thesis if capacity expansion, component supply, and customer execution stay on track.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology