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MOD

Modine ManufacturingB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q1 growth, 90% Data Center revenue growth, 22% Commercial HVAC growth, supply remediation, and capacity expansion support the reaffirmed FY2027 outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.1.
What can break
Commercial HVAC faces integration and product-mix pressure, while Performance Technologies remains weaker.
Momentum
19
Value
48
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $215.00 · Bull $260.00 · Bear $165.00Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $310.29
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d +8.6
Value48 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment83 · Δ7d -9.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commercial HVAC faces integration and product-mix pressure, while Performance Technologies remains weaker.
  • • Component shortages could continue limiting Data Center production and margins.
  • • Near-term execution remains exposed to component shortages, underutilized expansion capacity, margin pressure, weaker Performance Technologies performance, and approval or execution risk around the separation.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-03

Q1 FY2027 results and reaffirmed outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.6
Δ21d
+14.6
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.1
Δ21d
+10.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 19.4 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 82.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$260.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.51B
Beta
1.70
Shares Out
53.11M
P/E (TTM)
40.6
P/S (TTM)
2.75
P/FCF (TTM)
178.17
Rev YoY
+28.0%
EPS YoY
+43.5%
Gross Margin
+22.4%
Op Margin
+10.9%
Net Debt
$506.4M
Current Ratio
2.04
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data