B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MNST
Monster BeverageCNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 beat, 20% sales growth, 21.6% Monster Energy Drinks growth, and reported international momentum support continued earnings growth if innovation, distribution, and pricing remain effective. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Alcohol Brands sales declined 15.2% year over year in Q2.
Momentum
71
Value
46
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $49.10 · Bull $54.00 · Bear $40.80Analysis 2026-08-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
26 · Disqualified
Next 2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Earnings Setup
As of 2026-10-27 • RankAlpha AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $50.69
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d +10.9
Value46 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Earnings surprise screen
26Disqualified2026-10-29 amc
The supplied calendar lists Oct. 29, but checked public calendars conflict: MarketBeat listed Nov. 5 and ChartMill showed an Oct. 29 estimate date. EPS revision data were negative over three months, while the checked tape was mixed and did not show a recent 1.5x volume session; earnings timing is not reliably confirmed for this event window.
Screen as of 2026-10-27. Window 2026-10-27 to 2026-11-02.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
- • Pre-earnings setup: 26 / disqualified.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Alcohol Brands sales declined 15.2% year over year in Q2.
- • Aluminum can costs, freight-in expense, foreign-exchange movements, and geographic mix may pressure margins.
- • Operating expenses rose materially, while aluminum, freight, geographic mix, and declining Alcohol Brands sales could constrain margin expansion.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · AMC
Q2 2026 earnings beat and strong core growth
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
71
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.9
Δ21d
+19.9
Value
46
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
-19.8
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 70.9 / Value 45.5 / Sentiment 60.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$49.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$90.98B
Beta
0.45
Shares Out
1.96B
P/E (TTM)
43.1
P/S (TTM)
9.27
P/FCF (TTM)
37.24
Rev YoY
+20.2%
EPS YoY
+19.0%
Gross Margin
+55.5%
Op Margin
+29.2%
Net Debt
-$2.77B
Current Ratio
3.73
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data