B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MNST
Monster BeverageBNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 beat, 20% sales growth, 21.6% Monster Energy Drinks growth, and reported international momentum support continued earnings growth if innovation, distribution, and pricing remain effective. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Alcohol Brands sales declined 15.2% year over year in Q2.
Momentum
39
Value
46
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $49.10 · Bull $54.00 · Bear $40.80Analysis 2026-08-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $51.12
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -8.1
Value46 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +12.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Alcohol Brands sales declined 15.2% year over year in Q2.
- • Aluminum can costs, freight-in expense, foreign-exchange movements, and geographic mix may pressure margins.
- • Operating expenses rose materially, while aluminum, freight, geographic mix, and declining Alcohol Brands sales could constrain margin expansion.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-11
Q2 2026 earnings beat and strong core growth
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.1
Δ21d
-4.2
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-3.9
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.6
Δ21d
+14.9
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 39.1 / Value 46.1 / Sentiment 80.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$49.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$89.18B
Beta
0.45
Shares Out
1.96B
P/E (TTM)
43.1
P/S (TTM)
9.27
P/FCF (TTM)
37.24
Rev YoY
+20.2%
EPS YoY
+19.0%
Gross Margin
+55.5%
Op Margin
+29.2%
Net Debt
-$2.77B
Current Ratio
3.73
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data