B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$820.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
MLM
Martin Marietta MaterialsANYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull: Durable infrastructure-led volume and price gains plus effective cost control drive margin expansion and multiple re‑rate toward peer highs, supporting the $820 target over 12–24 months.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.
What can break
Adverse weather or supply/transport disruptions impacting production
Momentum
16
Value
50
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $680.00 · Bull $820.00 · Bear $540.00Analysis 2025-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $668.70
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d -3.4
Value50 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d +0.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse weather or supply/transport disruptions impacting production
- • Slowdown in U.S. non‑residential or infrastructure spending reduces volumes
- • Bear: Prolonged construction weakness or sustained input-cost inflation erodes volumes and margins, compressing the multiple toward the $540 downside scenario.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Q3 2025 earnings
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
-1.4
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-3.4
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
+0.5
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 16.2 / Value 49.8 / Sentiment 84.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-10-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$680.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$540.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$32.36B
Beta
1.16
Shares Out
60.07M
P/E (TTM)
35.5
P/S (TTM)
5.83
P/FCF (TTM)
47.68
Rev YoY
+21.0%
EPS YoY
-23.2%
Gross Margin
+28.2%
Op Margin
+21.3%
Net Debt
$5.94B
Current Ratio
1.41
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data