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MFA

MFA FinancialB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
View Chart
Current thesis
NAV recovery, spread compression, and maintained distributions push shares toward the analyst high (14.45); capital actions or dividend persistence would accelerate moves.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Dividend cut or suspension
Momentum
47
Value
62
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.31 · Bull $14.45 · Bear $9.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.50
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d -11.0
Value62 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -3.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
47
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.0
Δ21d
+12.3
Value
62
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
61
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.8
Δ21d
+2.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 46.6 / Value 62.4 / Sentiment 61.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$943.83M
Beta
1.66
Shares Out
101.6M
P/E (TTM)
11.1
P/S (TTM)
1.21
P/FCF (TTM)
41.45
Rev YoY
+49.8%
EPS YoY
-136.2%
Gross Margin
+95.1%
Op Margin
+15.7%
Net Debt
$10.61B
Current Ratio
2.12
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology