B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MCHP
MicrochipBNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The company source supports a real post-earnings improvement: revenue and EPS beat management’s own prior guide, June-quarter revenue guidance stepped higher, and management described better bookings, sell-through, expedite activity, and operating leverage. Reuters also reported the June-quarter revenue outlook above estimates, which supports a constructive near-term read.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Data-center and AI commentary is promising but still management-framed; if design activity converts more slowly than expected, incremental upside may slip.
Momentum
39
Value
51
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $98.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $110.26
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +1.6
Value51 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Data-center and AI commentary is promising but still management-framed; if design activity converts more slowly than expected, incremental upside may slip.
- • Factory ramp and margin recovery require continued inventory normalization; if demand softens before utilization improves, operating leverage could disappoint.
- • This remains a cautious post-earnings monitoring setup, not a clean re-rating call.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-30
Q4 beat and June-quarter guide reset the near-term revenue slope
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+12.4
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+6.1
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 38.9 / Value 50.8 / Sentiment 76.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$43.58B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
543.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
365.1
P/S (TTM)
8.60
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
3583.03
Rev YoY
+38.0%
EPS YoY
-526.6%
Gross Margin
+47.4%
Op Margin
+16.2%
Net Debt
$5.4B
Current Ratio
1.92
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data