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MCHP

MicrochipA
Nasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company source supports a real post-earnings improvement: revenue and EPS beat management’s own prior guide, June-quarter revenue guidance stepped higher, and management described better bookings, sell-through, expedite activity, and operating leverage. Reuters also reported the June-quarter revenue outlook above estimates, which supports a constructive near-term read.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.2.
What can break
Data-center and AI commentary is promising but still management-framed; if design activity converts more slowly than expected, incremental upside may slip.
Momentum
75
Value
50
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $98.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $108.17
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d +1.8
Value50 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -6.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Data-center and AI commentary is promising but still management-framed; if design activity converts more slowly than expected, incremental upside may slip.
  • • Factory ramp and margin recovery require continued inventory normalization; if demand softens before utilization improves, operating leverage could disappoint.
  • • This remains a cautious post-earnings monitoring setup, not a clean re-rating call.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-30

Q4 beat and June-quarter guide reset the near-term revenue slope

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
75
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
-17.1
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
76
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.2
Δ21d
-5.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 74.8 / Value 49.6 / Sentiment 75.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$41.21B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
543.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
345.3
P/S (TTM)
8.60
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
3388.39
Rev YoY
+38.0%
EPS YoY
-526.6%
Gross Margin
+47.4%
Op Margin
+16.2%
Net Debt
$5.4B
Current Ratio
1.92
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data