B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
MCFT
Mastercraft BoatBNasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case assumes above-consensus seasonality, successful new-model introductions, and margin recovery that pushes consensus toward the high-$20s; that scenario supports the bull target near the current analyst high.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Cyclical discretionary demand drop/weak spring season
Momentum
17
Value
50
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.40 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $15.00Analysis 2026-02-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $26.00
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -0.3
Value50 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment71 · Δ7d -0.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical discretionary demand drop/weak spring season
- • Dealer inventory destocking or weaker retail financing availability
- • Bear case assumes a weak spring selling season, inventory destocking at dealers, or margin contraction from input-cost pressure — outcomes that could drive the shares toward mid-to-high teens.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-11
Analyst target revisions and coverage updates
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-2.2
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
71
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-6.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 16.6 / Value 49.9 / Sentiment 71.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-10. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$23.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$477.21M
Beta
1.07
Shares Out
24.22M
P/E (TTM)
23.8
P/S (TTM)
1.10
P/FCF (TTM)
19.39
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
-120.2%
Gross Margin
+22.5%
Op Margin
+3.9%
Net Debt
-$79.44M
Current Ratio
1.83
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data