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MCFT

Mastercraft BoatC
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes above-consensus seasonality, successful new-model introductions, and margin recovery that pushes consensus toward the high-$20s; that scenario supports the bull target near the current analyst high.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-09-10 · BMO.
What can break
Cyclical discretionary demand drop/weak spring season
Momentum
56
Value
50
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.40 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $15.00Analysis 2026-02-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-09-10 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $27.60
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d -10.3
Value50 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +3.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-09-10 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cyclical discretionary demand drop/weak spring season
  • • Dealer inventory destocking or weaker retail financing availability
  • • Bear case assumes a weak spring selling season, inventory destocking at dealers, or margin contraction from input-cost pressure — outcomes that could drive the shares toward mid-to-high teens.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-10 · BMO

Analyst target revisions and coverage updates

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
56
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.3
Δ21d
+5.1
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
+10.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 55.9 / Value 50.3 / Sentiment 62.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$23.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$613.57M
Beta
1.07
Shares Out
24.44M
P/E (TTM)
23.8
P/S (TTM)
1.10
P/FCF (TTM)
19.39
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
-120.2%
Gross Margin
+22.5%
Op Margin
+3.9%
Net Debt
-$79.44M
Current Ratio
1.83
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data