RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

MBC

MasterBrandC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The completed American Woodmark combination creates substantial cost-reduction potential: management raised the long-term annual run-rate synergy target above $100 million and had already executed $30 million of annualized actions. Successful integration plus eventual housing-market recovery could produce significant operating leverage [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.8.
What can break
American Woodmark integration could produce disruption, delayed savings, or costs that offset expected synergies.
Momentum
34
Value
53
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.25 · Bull $10.25 · Bear $5.25Analysis 2026-09-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.36
Why
Momentum34 · Δ7d -12.9
Value53 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +10.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • American Woodmark integration could produce disruption, delayed savings, or costs that offset expected synergies.
  • • Continued weakness in residential cabinet demand could prolong volume deleverage and delay an earnings recovery [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
  • • The merger arrived during a pronounced cabinet-demand downturn.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

American Woodmark integration and synergy delivery

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
34
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.9
Δ21d
-7.1
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-6.4
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.8
Δ21d
+28.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 33.7 / Value 53.3 / Sentiment 60.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$7.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$5.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.83B
Beta
-
Shares Out
203.49M
P/E (TTM)
17.7
P/S (TTM)
0.52
P/FCF (TTM)
10.68
Rev YoY
+11.5%
EPS YoY
-229.8%
Gross Margin
+25.6%
Op Margin
-0.6%
Net Debt
$990.7M
Current Ratio
1.76
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data