MAT
MattelCNasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 sales growth, unchanged FY2026 guidance, ongoing buybacks, the June 5 movie release, and Mattel163 integration mark the start of a better second-half IP monetization cycle. The packet's sell-side summary implies a mean/median target near $19.33, well above the $15.08 anchor.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.8.
What can break
Cash and equivalents fell to $866.0 million at March 31, 2026, operating cash flow was a $23 million use in Q1, and Mattel still carried about $2.33 billion of long-term debt [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
Momentum
34
Value
66
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.50 · Bull $19.50 · Bear $12.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.33
Why
Momentum34 · Δ7d +1.0
Value66 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +4.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
34
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+5.9
Value
66
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
62
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
+9.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 34.4 / Value 65.8 / Sentiment 62.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$4.32B
Beta
0.70
Shares Out
310.8M
P/E (TTM)
15.4
P/S (TTM)
1.22
P/FCF (TTM)
13.09
Rev YoY
-5.9%
EPS YoY
-19.4%
Gross Margin
+50.5%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$946.44M
Current Ratio
1.60
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology