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MAS

MascoC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Adjusted EPS rose 26% in Q2, adjusted operating margin reached 24.2%, international local-currency sales grew 4%, and management raised FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.40-$4.60. Pricing, cost savings, capital returns and eventual delivery against the 2028 framework could move MAS toward the supplied analyst median target of $80.59 [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.8.
What can break
Analyst target breadth and post-print estimate or rating revisions are unavailable, limiting confidence in the apparent valuation upside.
Momentum
53
Value
66
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $66.00 · Bull $81.00 · Bear $54.00Analysis 2026-09-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $80.29
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d +3.4
Value66 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +4.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target breadth and post-print estimate or rating revisions are unavailable, limiting confidence in the apparent valuation upside.
  • • DIY paint declined in the high-single digits, partly reflecting a customer transition in the primer and applicator business [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-28].
  • • Q2 net sales declined 3%, North American local-currency sales fell 5%, and both operating segments reported lower sales.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Margin durability after the Q2 tariff-refund benefit

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
53
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
+18.9
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.8
Δ21d
+10.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 53.4 / Value 66.1 / Sentiment 59.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$81.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.58B
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
197.19M
P/E (TTM)
16.4
P/S (TTM)
1.74
P/FCF (TTM)
22.57
Rev YoY
-2.9%
EPS YoY
+24.5%
Gross Margin
+36.9%
Op Margin
+17.7%
Net Debt
$2.57B
Current Ratio
1.86
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data