B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$81.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MAS
MascoCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Adjusted EPS rose 26% in Q2, adjusted operating margin reached 24.2%, international local-currency sales grew 4%, and management raised FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.40-$4.60. Pricing, cost savings, capital returns and eventual delivery against the 2028 framework could move MAS toward the supplied analyst median target of $80.59 [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Analyst target breadth and post-print estimate or rating revisions are unavailable, limiting confidence in the apparent valuation upside.
Momentum
81
Value
63
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $66.00 · Bull $81.00 · Bear $54.00Analysis 2026-09-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $79.06
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d +22.9
Value63 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -2.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target breadth and post-print estimate or rating revisions are unavailable, limiting confidence in the apparent valuation upside.
- • DIY paint declined in the high-single digits, partly reflecting a customer transition in the primer and applicator business [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-28].
- • Q2 net sales declined 3%, North American local-currency sales fell 5%, and both operating segments reported lower sales.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-28 · BMO
Margin durability after the Q2 tariff-refund benefit
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
81
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+22.9
Δ21d
+32.9
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-2.8
Sentiment
41
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.9
Δ21d
-18.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 80.7 / Value 63.2 / Sentiment 41.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$14.99B
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
197.19M
P/E (TTM)
16.4
P/S (TTM)
1.74
P/FCF (TTM)
22.57
Rev YoY
-2.9%
EPS YoY
+24.5%
Gross Margin
+36.9%
Op Margin
+17.7%
Net Debt
$2.57B
Current Ratio
1.86
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data