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MAS

MascoA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print demonstrated strong earnings conversion and margin expansion, with adjusted EPS up 26%, adjusted operating profit up 17% and higher FY26 adjusted EPS guidance. Capital returns and brand strength provide additional support if repair-and-remodel demand stabilizes.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
What can break
DIY paint weakness, commodity costs, employee-related inflation and remaining tariff costs may pressure margins.
Momentum
54
Value
66
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $80.81 · Bull $88.00 · Bear $62.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $80.59
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d +1.4
Value66 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • DIY paint weakness, commodity costs, employee-related inflation and remaining tariff costs may pressure margins.
  • • Post-earnings analyst estimate changes, target revisions and quantified market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
  • • Revenue declined 3%, North American sales fell 5% in local currency, and demand remains uneven.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-14

Q2 earnings beat with higher FY26 adjusted EPS guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
54
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
+16.8
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+6.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 53.9 / Value 66.1 / Sentiment 78.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$80.81
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.58B
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
197.19M
P/E (TTM)
16.4
P/S (TTM)
1.74
P/FCF (TTM)
22.57
Rev YoY
-2.9%
EPS YoY
+24.5%
Gross Margin
+36.9%
Op Margin
+17.7%
Net Debt
$2.57B
Current Ratio
1.86
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data