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MAGN

MagneraB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Organic volume growth, price-cost gains and merger savings persist while the Dombühl line reaches commercial production, improving cash conversion and enabling deleveraging. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] Dombühl release
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Debt of $1.901 billion at June 27 substantially exceeds the $32 million of nine-month free cash flow; interest expense was $37 million in the June quarter. Company results
Momentum
46
Value
67
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.00 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $5.50Analysis 2026-10-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.00
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d +4.5
Value67 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -6.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Debt of $1.901 billion at June 27 substantially exceeds the $32 million of nine-month free cash flow; interest expense was $37 million in the June quarter. Company results
  • • Management held to the lower end of adjusted EBITDA guidance despite reaffirming its free-cash-flow outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Raw-material inflation, delayed pass-throughs or weaker product mix erode margins; high debt and limited free-cash-flow conversion amplify downside.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Fiscal-year cash-flow and EBITDA test

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
46
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
+17.3
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.7
Δ21d
-41.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 45.5 / Value 66.9 / Sentiment 51.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$427.09M
Beta
1.72
Shares Out
35.8M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.7
P/S (TTM)
0.16
P/FCF (TTM)
14.40
Rev YoY
+2.1%
EPS YoY
+10.2%
Gross Margin
+10.6%
Op Margin
+4.4%
Net Debt
$1.71B
Current Ratio
2.45
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data