B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LVWR
LiveWire GroupFNYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 revenue rose 38% year over year and year-to-date free-cash-flow use improved 16%. Product deliveries and a financing transaction on tolerable terms could preserve equity upside.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Financing, sale or recapitalization terms may dilute or impair common equity; no transaction is assured. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-29]
Momentum
56
Value
36
Sentiment
31
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.50 · Bull $1.20 · Bear $0.08Analysis 2026-10-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-03 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-03 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-11-03
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-03
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-03. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d -
Value36 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment31 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Financing, sale or recapitalization terms may dilute or impair common equity; no transaction is assured. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-29]
- • Management disclosed substantial doubt about LiveWire's ability to continue as a going concern within one year. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-29]
- • The operating improvement is outweighed by substantial going-concern doubt, continuing losses, withdrawn guidance and an unresolved funding need.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-09
September-quarter 10-Q liquidity detail
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
56
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
36
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
31
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 56.0 / Value 35.9 / Sentiment 31.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-31. Scenario method
B
Base case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B-
Bear case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.08
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-11-03
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-03
Market Cap
$123.68M
Beta
1.79
Shares Out
205.41M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.6
P/S (TTM)
34.65
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-2.42
Rev YoY
+55.2%
EPS YoY
-4.0%
Gross Margin
+41.5%
Op Margin
-163.2%
Net Debt
-$7.05M
Current Ratio
4.16
As of 2026-11-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data