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LVWR

LiveWire GroupD
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Successful distribution deals, measurable product traction, and non-dilutive financing lead to improving unit economics, margin expansion, and multiple re-rating toward the bull target.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Slower adoption, execution delays, or a dilutive financing event sustain losses and compress multiples, driving the share toward the bear target.
Momentum
56
Value
36
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.95 · Bull $1.50 · Bear $0.45Analysis 2025-11-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d -
Value36 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Slower adoption, execution delays, or a dilutive financing event sustain losses and compress multiples, driving the share toward the bear target.
  • • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.

Catalyst clock

2025-12-15

Quarterly earnings (FYQ4/FY2025)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
56
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
36
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
41
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 56.0 / Value 36.2 / Sentiment 41.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$0.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$0.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$236.22M
Beta
1.79
Shares Out
205.41M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.1
P/S (TTM)
34.65
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-4.62
Rev YoY
+55.2%
EPS YoY
-4.0%
Gross Margin
+41.5%
Op Margin
-163.2%
Net Debt
-$7.05M
Current Ratio
4.16
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data